Skip to main content

Communications Infrastructure

Steven Kempler | Co-Founder and Portfolio Manager, Global Listed Infrastructure

by Steven Kempler

Co-Founder and Managing Director, Maple-Brown Abbott Global Listed Infrastructure

Video 23 Feb 2026

We believe the communications sector is one of the more compelling valuations dislocations we’re seeing in infrastructure today. These essential assets, with long‑term contracted cash flows, are trading at valuations we haven’t seen in years. Cell towers or TowerCos own the physical tower infrastructure that mobile operators rely on. Revenues are underpinned by long term contracts, in some markets up to twenty years, which gives very visible, recurring cash flows and adding new tenants to an existing tower has a very low incremental cost. Combined with ongoing growth in data usage, this has historically been a strong business model which continues to attract substantial private capital.

However, listed tower valuations have weakened significantly. Rate volatility and more recent concerns about mobile operator consolidation have weighed heavily on sentiment. As you can see on the chart, tower companies have lagged global equities and global infrastructure by a wide margin. For us, this valuation reset is actually a key part of the opportunity. The sector now represents around 15% of our portfolio. The relative value stands out clearly when you line up valuation metrics and cash yields with the multiples being paid by private buyers.

Europe is where the dislocation is most pronounced. It’s apparent that consolidation risk is a key investor concern because of fears around tower decommissioning. But if regulators ultimately allow consolidation, we suggest it will also support the sector where operator combinations have historically included mandated infrastructure spending. Stronger operators then also tend to invest more, which leads to better networks and more activity for tower companies which we’ve seen before. So it cuts both ways. Let me touch briefly on the individual European names. Starting with Cellnex, which looks highly contrarian, the shares are trading at their lowest valuation levels since IPO, around 13x EV/EBITDAaL. This looks particularly dislocated when you compare it to the private market. Cellnex has sold assets itself such as its Nordics and Irish assets at 23x and 24x respectively. And over the next 5 years, cash returns to shareholders could exceed 50% of the current market cap. INWIT shows the same kind of valuation gap. The stock is trading well below private market benchmarks, including around 26x EV/EBITDAaL where a minority stake changed hands a few years ago, and around 18x where its largest private shareholder increased its position as recently as 2024. Today the listed shares are closer to 14x. Looking ahead, there are three things that should support these European investments. First, an acceleration in spending post-mobile operator merger integration in Spain and the UK reaches completion. Second, greater clarity around contract renewals in markets facing consolidation uncertainty. And third, we expect greater visibility around Cellnex’s next phase of growth. The latter will be more apparent over the course of 2026.

Before closing, a quick update on satellites. There is a lot of interest around low earth orbit satellites constellations like Starlink, but satellites are not a replacement for towers. They are complementary, helping deliver connectivity in rural areas where towers are not economical. They do not provide the density, capacity, or economics needed in dense urban environments where the majority of the global population lives. Even Starlink’s Elon Musk suggested that satellites are designed to be supplemental. We like tower assets because they are essential, they have long term contracted revenues, and today they are trading at valuations that imply strong long term compounding returns well above our cost of capital.

Disclaimer
This video is prepared and issued by Maple-Brown Abbott Limited ABN 73 001 208 564, AFSL 237296 (‘MBA’) as the Responsible Entity of the MBA Global Listed Infrastructure Fund (ARSN 164 901 982) (‘Fund’). This video contains general information only, and does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or specific needs. Before making any investment decision, you should seek independent financial advice. This document does not constitute an offer or solicitation by anyone in any jurisdiction. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. Neither MBA, nor any of its related parties, directors or employees, make any representation or give any guarantee as to the return of capital, performance, any specific rate of return, or the taxation consequences of, any investment. Any views expressed on individual stocks or other investments, or any forecasts or estimates, are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold, they are point in time views and may be based on certain assumptions and qualifications not set out in part or in full in this document. Individual stocks referred to, may or may not be currently held by the Fund. Information derived from sources is believed to be accurate, however such information has not been independently verified and may be subject to assumptions and qualifications not described in this document. To the extent permitted by law, neither MBA, nor any of its related parties, directors or employees, make any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, completeness, reasonableness or reliability of this information, or accept liability or responsibility for any losses, whether direct, indirect or consequential, relating to, or arising from, the use or reliance on this information. Before making a decision whether to acquire, or to continue to hold an investment in the Fund, investors should obtain and consider the current PDS and Target Market Determination (TMD) or any other relevant disclosure document. For the Fund, the PDS, AIB and TMD are available at maple-brownabbott.com/document-library or by calling +61 2 8059 7671. This information is current as of 12 February 2026 and is subject to change at any time without notice. © 2026 Maple-Brown Abbott Limited.

Steven Kempler
Co-Founder and Managing Director, Maple-Brown Abbott Global Listed Infrastructure

Co-Founder and Managing Director, Global Listed Infrastructure
Co-Founder and Managing Director, Global Listed Infrastructure

Andrew Maple-Brown

BEng, BCom, MAppFin, CIM
Andrew joined Maple-Brown Abbott in 2012. Andrew is the Managing Director of Maple-Brown Abbott Global Listed Infrastructure which he started with his partners in 2012. Before joining Maple-Brown Abbott he spent eleven years working for Macquarie Group, the remaining five years of which he spent as a Portfolio Manager within their Global Listed Infrastructure team, working in Sydney and New York. Andrew has more than twenty years of experience in financing and investing in infrastructure assets and securities. In addition to being a portfolio manager for the strategy, he is also responsible for coverage of Regulated Utilities across North America. Andrew began his career at Lend Lease and was there for five years.

 

Board and committee membership:
Maple-Brown Abbott Global Listed Infrastructure Pty Limited Board
Asset Allocation Committee

Andrew

Interested in investing with us?

Investment Insights

Article 16 Feb 2026

Economic uncertainty and the rising importance of social risk for investors

We are living through a period of profound economic uncertainty, marked by a cost-of-living crisis and widening income inequality. These pressures are reshaping consumer behaviour, labour dynamics and political priorities—creating a complex risk landscape for investors. While corporate governance has long been central to our investment process, an emerging risk is gaining traction: social license to operate. Rising living costs, wage pressures and affordability challenges can trigger labour unrest, regulatory intervention and reputational damage. By understanding these dynamics, investors can better anticipate emerging risks and position for resilience.
Article 28 Jan 2026

Inside knowledge: why CEOs selling shares is a potential warning signal

Insider trading often draws investor attention, but interpreting these moves isn’t always straightforward. Insider buying is generally seen as a vote of confidence, while selling is more ambiguous. Large, non-routine, and coordinated sales can signal caution, yet many disposals are driven by personal reasons like tax obligations or portfolio diversification. Studies show insider selling can precede weaker returns, especially when multiple insiders sell significant stakes. Routine or small trades, however, usually carry little weight. For investors, context is key - size, timing, and intent matter. Insider activity should therefore prompt deeper due diligence, rather than be an automatic verdict on a company’s outlook.
Article 14 Jan 2026

The UK water sector: affordability and environmental performance

The UK water sector faces a critical challenge: reversing decades of underinvestment while managing customer affordability. For our holdings United Utilities and Severn Trent, the path forward requires simultaneously addressing environmental degradation and keeping bills manageable during a cost-of-living crisis. This article examines how both companies are navigating this transformation as the sector enters AMP8 (2025-30) with significantly larger capital programmes and intensifying regulatory scrutiny.
Article 13 Jan 2026

Essential networks: The infrastructure investment case for 2026

We enter 2026 with investment optimism. While growth risks linger and inflation remains sticky, these conditions historically favour infrastructure assets. At the same time, powerful secular trends, decarbonisation and digitalisation, are creating significant opportunities across the sector. Valuations for listed infrastructure look fair on an absolute basis and attractive relative to broader equity markets and private transactions. Our focus remains on actively managing a portfolio of high quality infrastructure assets with high barriers to entry and strong strategic positions, delivering inflation-linked cash flows and attractive risk-adjusted returns through the economic cycle.

Subscribe to receive Investment Insights